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Conference Realignment Board

Synaesthesia

Joined: 07/25/2008 Posts: 5017
Likes: 1729


Number of teams will ultimately be informed by media content requirement


I.e. ESPN wants to sell $X worth of advertising airtime, but X is a product of the number and quality of the games (Ohio State vs Michigan is presumably worth more than Indiana vs Purdue). However, even games like the latter aren't worthless as advertising vehicles. This will probably mean that any future Divison 1-A+ or 1-S or whatever you want to call it for football isn't going to be optimized strictly for competitiveness.

What I mean by that is, right now, as college football is currently structured, there's really only a pool of about 10-15 teams who have any believable shot at competing for a national title at any point between now and the next 5 years. A hyper-competitive league would just take those teams, and every league game they played would be very compelling for the viewer (even the SEC still has clunkers like Alabama-Vanderbilt). But they won't play enough games for ESPN to hit their price target, they need more content than just 6-8 games per week. So they need to add a bunch more teams as filler, basically. Those teams, as of today, will never compete for a league/national title and will mostly never even win their conference title, they'll just have to hope for a winning record each year and maybe score an upset once in a while.

I kept talking about how things currently are, because it would be easy to create a far more well-rounded and competitive league, with more than just 10-15 teams, by instituting a couple simple (but hard-to-swallow for some people) changes. #1, get rid of scholarships, and thus the scholarship limit, which is an imperfect proxy for salary cap, and just pay players directly. No games of "you should come to Texas because we have many fans who love giving lucrative NIL deals to current Texas players, wink wink," programs just negotiate a salary based on their desire/need for a certain player. Let the players form a union (ideal) or have them all be a bunch of individual 1099s (still better than what we currently have). #2, institute program-wide salary cap. Do you want to pay big money for an elite coaching staff and less on the players, or do you spend it all on the players and just get an unremarkable coach? It'd be program's discretion, but it's all against the same cap space. Finally, #3 directly follows, how do you determine the cap for the league? Suppose ESPN says that the right number of teams is 40, maybe it's 4 conferences of 10 teams, whatever. Take that 40th-best program and use them as the benchmark, some kind of rolling average of the last 5 years of what they've spent on football, you can even let debt service payments against the stadium count for it. If you think that indexing the cap against the worst team is way too fair, then have the cap be the median spending (NOT the average) of your entire 40 team league (my guess is this would put it somewhere down in the 25-30 range).

Doing something like this immediately cripples the dynamic of what's been allowed to happen over the years (and has become greatly pronounced over the last 10-20), where the top programs have no limit on what they can spend, which over time increases the functional gap between them and the rest of the teams in their conference, since they naturally accumulate the best coaches, best players, best facilities, etc. The Alabamas and Ohio States would absolutely hate such a system, and scream and howl and cry huge crocodile tears of anguish, which is how you know it would work to create competitive parity.

(In response to this post by Maroon Baboon)

Posted: 04/09/2022 at 12:32PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Dabo Swinney on CFB: "40 or 50 teams and a commissioner" -- goldendomer 04/09/2022 12:01AM
  6 conferences of 7 teams each -- obguthr 04/10/2022 11:03AM
  UNC and UVA will follow the money ** -- MrFantastic! 04/12/2022 05:56AM
  How much television revenue would it generate? ** -- EDGEMAN 04/11/2022 10:06AM
  Its not atemdamce. Its money -- Mercury 04/11/2022 08:18AM
  Stadium capacity does not need to increase. ** -- marcbvtgm 04/10/2022 3:47PM
  Lane is in the Top 25 in stadium capacity right now. -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 3:35PM
  Ok lets do math -- Mercury 04/11/2022 08:20AM
  If it is 16-20 teams, we won't be in it anyway. -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 9:56PM
  Duplicate post. Sorry. Delete. Thanks.** -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 9:57PM
  Who says who is in or out? -- 33laszlo99 04/09/2022 3:12PM
  Dabo is right that the P5 need their own setup. -- Hokester 04/09/2022 10:01AM
  EFL yes. NFL no. -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 3:51PM
  Where do they draw the line? -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 12:32AM
  Time to think outside the box -- 33laszlo99 04/09/2022 2:34PM
  We are in the wild west for now. -- goldendomer 04/09/2022 12:46AM
  I see another division (P-4 or P-5) -- Old Line Hokie 04/09/2022 08:36AM
  The problem is, conferences are no longer equal. -- Maroon Baboon 04/09/2022 4:17PM
  When was the last time conferences were equal? ** -- Old Line Hokie 04/09/2022 8:10PM
  Question for thought -- Mercury 04/09/2022 07:42AM
  Thank you so much !!!!!! bingo -- Mercury 04/09/2022 4:55PM

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