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Flanker

Joined: 10/30/2003 Posts: 1128
Likes: 510


90% is a good standard


I would eat at a restaurant if I knew that I had a 90% chance of not getting sick. I wouldn't eat at a restaurant if I had a 50% chance of getting sick. Similarly, I would consider going bungee jumping if I had a 95% chance of a successful dance with death. I would not even consider going bungee jumping if the odds dropped to 50%. 90% is a good standard for recruiting.

I consider a person a contributor when they make multiple starts and it depends on the university. A person who starts at a top-tier program gets a bump in my determination. I also consider catches/yards/tackles/interceptions over a player's career. I don't consider a person to be a contributor if they only make single digit tackles/catches/carries each season. Some schemes don't allow the players to rack up huge stats so their role in the scheme has to be considered. It's easier when a person doesn't play a down or they have a 500 yard season.

I would say overall that recruiting rankings are an exercise in nonsense. You can't assign a ranking to people who play different positions in different leagues against different competition in different states all over the country. I have the benefit of hindsight with my review. Unlike the recruiting services, I'm not making predictions. I now know who could play and who could not.

(In response to this post by Pride_and_Joy)

Posted: 12/23/2021 at 4:24PM



+1

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Current Thread:
  Interesting analysis, and aligns with what I would have guessed. -- Wilmington Hokie 12/23/2021 11:45AM
  Gotta wait five years to see how things turn out. -- Flanker 12/23/2021 4:02PM
  There is nothing wrong with the ranking system. -- cvillehokie07 12/23/2021 05:22AM
  I disagree -- Flanker 12/23/2021 4:09PM
  Still cherry picking. -- cvillehokie07 12/23/2021 7:16PM
  I still believe in VA -- Flanker 12/23/2021 4:51PM
  Good summary. ** -- RJHokie 12/23/2021 3:27PM
  I'm trying to figure out what your point is. -- culpmania 12/22/2021 8:38PM
  Nigel Williams started for us in ‘16…. -- BROman Hokie 12/22/2021 6:40PM
  Good Catch! -- Flanker 12/22/2021 9:00PM
  David Robinson has huge growth spurt as well.** ** -- NavyHokie 12/22/2021 7:25PM
  What do you mean “90-95% is reliable in my book” -- Pride_and_Joy 12/22/2021 10:56PM
  What I meant was ... -- Flanker 12/23/2021 12:05AM
  So 90% is just a completely arbitrary standard you created. -- Pride_and_Joy 12/23/2021 01:34AM
  90% is a good standard -- Flanker 12/23/2021 4:24PM
  I can’t. This is just too painful. ** -- Pride_and_Joy 12/23/2021 4:40PM
  Sure. I’ll spend ten minutes and -- Pride_and_Joy 12/23/2021 4:41PM
  I don't think -- 133303Hokie 12/22/2021 9:10PM
  Good post.. you summarized what I was going to say ** -- 6thStreetHokie 12/22/2021 4:44PM
  Appreciate the research, but I am curious on one factor: -- LocalHokie18 12/22/2021 3:49PM
  Very possible explanation for the results -- Seikoh_04 12/23/2021 10:54AM
  I still prefer the VA top 25 3* over the 4* -- Flanker 12/22/2021 4:15PM
  I have enjoyed your research -- Seikoh_04 12/22/2021 3:19PM
  That might be above my pay grade -- Flanker 12/22/2021 4:23PM
  Constantly posting on recruiting rankings is BS -- MaryWashGrad 12/22/2021 3:08PM
  This ^^ ** -- cvillehokie07 12/22/2021 9:28PM
  I’m not getting that but instead -- HOKIEGOBBLE 12/22/2021 4:48PM
  Rankings -- Gorgerat 12/22/2021 3:39PM

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