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The_Phew

Joined: 08/31/2004 Posts: 18461
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A half is a meaningful unit since the biggest adjustments are made then


Two halves of basketball are not two isolated samples with no influence on each other, because every coach is going to focus on playing to their strengths and shoring up their weaknesses from the first half. This is the main reason teams so often approach their mean shooting % after an exceptional half; because the other team did everything in their power to make that happen.

'Reversion to the mean' is not a statistical phenomenon for stochastic systems, but it's definitively a thing in college basketball.
[Post edited by The_Phew at 02/16/2022 09:07AM]

(In response to this post by Pylons)

Posted: 02/16/2022 at 09:06AM


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  Hokies #2 in the nation in 3pt FG%... -- GCHokie34 02/15/2022 1:51PM
  Syracuse and uva are not good basketball teams. Syracuse has a bad defense -- King of Hokies 02/15/2022 3:08PM
  ^^^^^ KingOfNATTS ^^^^^ ** -- No_Limit_Hokie 02/15/2022 3:43PM
  Dude. They are good basketball teams. So is VT. None are great. ** -- Foxhall Hokie 02/15/2022 3:35PM
  Dude, I'm using the actual definition. Do you know what "good" -- King of Hokies 02/15/2022 3:43PM
  Dude, “desired” and “approved of” are subjective. -- marcbvtgm 02/15/2022 4:16PM
  Dude, "good" is subjective. And I'm not really concerned whether "most" -- King of Hokies 02/15/2022 4:26PM
  Dude! -- No_Limit_Hokie 02/15/2022 4:31PM
  Where’s my car??!!! ** -- Hokie535 02/16/2022 07:32AM
  Theyre good basketball teams... ** -- GCHokie34 02/15/2022 3:19PM
  I wonder if playing 5 games in 12 days has contributed … -- WV Gobbler 02/15/2022 2:03PM
  We struggle to shoot after long layoffs, need to be careful -- soflahokie 02/15/2022 2:14PM
  Could be, but they also had a long break last Monday from Syracuse... -- GCHokie34 02/15/2022 2:12PM
  Certainly could be tired legs but i'd argue more for law of averages -- VT Pez4Life 02/15/2022 2:10PM
  There is no such law ** -- Pylons 02/15/2022 2:23PM
  You must not watch much basketball -- The_Phew 02/15/2022 3:01PM
  I watch plenty -- Pylons 02/15/2022 4:39PM
  I mean technically sure but statisticallythings will fall back to the mean ** -- VT Pez4Life 02/15/2022 2:28PM
  That's not how sports work. There is no "mean" to "fall back to." -- King of Hokies 02/15/2022 3:17PM
  Means change though -- Pylons 02/15/2022 2:44PM
  GC curious on your thoughts on our ball screen struggles in the 2nd half -- Hoke 02/15/2022 2:00PM
  Many times when ball screen D breaks down -- GCHokie34 02/15/2022 2:09PM
  Defensive efficiency... -- Chris Coleman  02/15/2022 1:57PM
  And that's good stuff ** -- TomTurkey 02/15/2022 1:53PM

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