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Cvillehoops13

Joined: 09/22/2001 Posts: 315
Likes: 901


Worth a reminder- the predictive metrics are not used in the selection


process the way they are often discussed on here. The metrics are used mainly to evaluate your resume. The argument "VT is ranked X in the Net or Y in Kenpom" is part of the picture but the goal of any of the used metrics in the process is not the same as what those metrics are designed to do. I used to think that the "bracketologist" industry was one of the dumbest things in sports but to hear ESPN talking heads talk about the selection process has made me rethink that.

The goal in all of this is to have the strongest resume, you do that mainly by beating as many of the highest rated teams in the predictive metrics as possible and limiting your losses to the teams at the bottom. If it's difficult to see why VT could be left out even with a top 30 NET take a look at Houston. They are clearly in the field but the predictive metrics are going to have them as a top-5 team in the country, they are likely to have a higher seed number than their overall metric ranking (for example they are 2nd in Torvik, 5th in Kenpom, 5th in NET and I think are staring down being a 5-7 seed right now).

With that said I think Wake, VT and UVa are all on the wrong side of the bubble now. VT has to make the final to have a shot and honestly for both VT and UVa it may be that winning the thing is the only way in. UNC is the second place team in the ACC with a win over a presumptive 2 seed and may enter the NCAA tourney as close to a double digit seed for the same reasons.

Without VT or UVa in the final I'd say it's a 4 bid ACC. Even with one in the final I'd still put that at better than 50% it's a 4 bid league.
[Post edited by Cvillehoops13 at 03/10/2022 11:41AM]

Posted: 03/10/2022 at 10:03AM



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Current Thread:
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