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Flanker

Joined: 10/30/2003 Posts: 1128
Likes: 510


It's also a numbers game - quality vs. quantity


I agree on the five stars. They seem to be great athletes BUT I believe there are only 35 - 50 five stars per year. There are three major recruiting services and they assign around 30 five stars a year. There aren't that many but there are way more three and four star recruits. Four stars might have a higher success rate but there will be more three star guys in the draft due to sheer numbers. Don't forget that Marcus Vick was a five star and that didn't go so well.

I'm mainly focusing on the top 25 in the state and seeing how the top guys fared and looking for overlooked players. A while ago, I did an analysis of all the recruits at Tech over the last twenty years and found that attrition rates were roughly 40% for both three and four star recruits.

The NFL draft is full of a lot of busts and head scratchers so I don't think the draft is the best measure of success. There are plenty of guys drafted for their potential and many solid players who never get their name called.

(In response to this post by CrystalCoveHokie)

Posted: 12/13/2021 at 10:00PM



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