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Flanker

Joined: 10/30/2003 Posts: 1128
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My overall point is that high attrition rates makes rankings unreliable


The odds are low across the board so the rankings are not reliable. The odds in the first article are below 50% across the board and the highest chance in the second article was 57%. Those odds still STINK. My main argument was that recruiting are not accurate until five or six years later after all the attrition.

I had earlier reviewed all of the Tech recruits from 2000 to 2019 or so and found that roughly forty percent of the three and four star recruits did not contribute. I posted the link below and you'll see a lot of productive players for Tech were three stars. It's probably true that five stars have a higher success rate but there are not as many of them.

(In response to this post by Synaesthesia)

Link: 247 Sports VT All-time top recruits


Posted: 12/11/2021 at 11:44AM


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Current Thread:
 
  Recruiting rankings are BS - 2016 VA top recruits -- Flanker 12/10/2021 3:50PM
  I dont know why people continue to make this tired arguement... -- Techsupport 12/10/2021 9:36PM
  It’s all a matter of degrees. -- Pride_and_Joy 12/10/2021 9:03PM
  Counter point, use a bigger sample -- VTCALS72 12/10/2021 8:18PM
  Carlos Basham and Silas Dsanzi didn't even make the list ... SMH -- Flanker 12/10/2021 7:09PM
  Most of the players you reference didn't pan out because of -- BuffaloTraceHokie 12/10/2021 6:44PM
  Or, you could say coaching matters a lot, too. -- MP4VT2004 12/10/2021 6:20PM
  It would be interesting to re rank the recruits in the state 5 years later -- HwoodHokie 12/10/2021 5:53PM
  If you want further..... -- 2hhoop3 12/10/2021 5:11PM
  I still don't think the talent in the state has dropped off much -- Flanker 12/10/2021 7:16PM
  Most people..... -- 2hhoop3 12/10/2021 7:23PM
  You hit right on something not many people realize. -- UEMcGill 12/10/2021 6:03PM
  Remember that everything is cyclical. -- EDGEMAN 12/10/2021 6:23PM
  That is a..... -- 2hhoop3 12/10/2021 6:32PM
  Have the demographics of the 757 changed in the last 20 years? Nope. -- EDGEMAN 12/10/2021 6:42PM
  You probably need...... -- 2hhoop3 12/10/2021 6:48PM
  I think what's changed is... -- MP4VT2004 12/10/2021 8:00PM
  5* get drafted at about a 50% or so rate. ** -- reestuart 12/10/2021 4:16PM
  4* are 12-15* IIRC. Prob ~25-30% for high & ~10% or less for low ** -- marcbvtgm 12/10/2021 4:50PM
  That’s probably about right. ** -- reestuart 12/10/2021 5:45PM
  There are about 200-250 4*recruits each year and only 10 or so in Va. -- lchoro 12/10/2021 4:13PM
  They're OK-ish individual predictors and strong aggregate predictors ** -- Synaesthesia 12/10/2021 4:13PM
  ^^this^^ ** -- Pride_and_Joy 12/10/2021 8:54PM
  Why don't you convince Bama, Georgia, Clemson, Ohio State this is BS? -- carhokies 12/10/2021 4:07PM
  Guess that means player evaluations are essential. -- EDGEMAN 12/10/2021 4:00PM
  Jalen Elliot played on a 13-14 year old team I helped coach...you could -- Tuckahokie 12/10/2021 3:56PM
  Recruiting matters a ton. Evaluations also matter a ton. ** -- vivitron73 12/10/2021 3:55PM

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