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Conference Realignment Board

M-I-C

Joined: 08/13/2018 Posts: 275
Likes: 149


True nothing is impossible, but


Most of this is improbable. This Texas/ Oklahoma stuff was leaked about a year before it was planned to be. ATM got wind of it and made sure it hit the news. It takes a considerable amount of time to do these things and this move has been in the works for at least 6 months and some speculate at least a year.

All things are possible with money and the Mouse has a boatload but it is not infinite and just at this time ESPN has been caught with their hand in the cookie jar. That tightens possible actions not relaxes them. This is over for the near future as everything goes into court rooms, back and forth between legal firms and closed door meetings and phone calls between people like Bolwsby and ESPN.

The ACC is solid with it's GOR and it cannot let it be broken any more than the Big-12 can. If one breaks, they all do and then there will never be another GOR. Universities will be able to move at will and it will be total chaos. ESPN has been trying to control this and they are the last ones that want to see broken GOR's because they have to plan multi-year TV rights packages.

It is fun to wonder and speculate about this tuff but on this topic, fans DO NOT MATTER and more so, DO NOT KNOW anything. A good portion of them DO NOT THINK about this stuff in any logical fashion.

Anyone that knows anything is going to be very quiet right now, not yakking up a storm.

No one is going to the Big-Ten, ACC, Pac-12 or the SEC beyond Texas and Oklahoma. The Big-12 will work on their future will likely include a foray into expansion in the next few months for starting play in 2022 if everyone agrees and 2023 if they don't. They can invite BYU right away - no conference to deal with. But Cincinnati, Houston and Memphis as well as Boise State, UCF, USF, SMU take your pick all have contractual conference obligations.

The ACC is just fine. It needs to realize ND is not coming and if ND ever moves to a conference it will be the Big-Ten. They need to work on 15 and 16 and neither of those slots will be WVU - far too much bad blood and frankly, WVU does not bring much to the ACC.

WVU brings rivalries, but as we have seen in the recent Texas move, that seems to be a less important quality these days. WVU brings a large, active fan base, which the ACC needs very much. WVU would rank right behind FSU and Clemson in that area and in some years VT. All very close there.

But after that, WVU does not really add to the ACC. As far as WVU is concerned, we would come in an be maligned on day one and for the rest of our lives. It is just not worth it, especially when we would lose our 15 million annual Tier 3 rights for no gain in the media rights.

Right now the Big-12 has a tv deal worth 405 million per annum. Speculation is that the figure will be chopped in half with the lose of TX and OK, That means 200 split 8 ways or 25 million. Each of the Big-12 school run T3 rights over 10 million - which, even at this reduced rats, puts them on par with the ACC.

For WVU there is nothing to gain by being in the ACC unless it means being locked out of the national picture and that is unlikely. Even the AAC was being set up to have a shot at it. The BIg-12 is far better off because it is listed as a P5 by the NCAA and that is unlikely to change.

So, no one is moving in or out of the ACC.

(In response to this post by HokieAl)

Posted: 08/02/2021 at 7:36PM



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Current Thread:
  Nobody is going anywhere for about 15 years -- mrcaniac 08/02/2021 6:39PM
  Nothing to see here -- Sunsetunderground 08/02/2021 4:12PM
  Yes and No -- M-I-C 08/02/2021 3:41PM
  Nice Mike Drop -- Sunsetunderground 08/02/2021 3:49PM
  An analyst who works for ESPN and the ACC Network -- GobblingHokies 08/02/2021 3:25PM
  I'll bet they HAVE reached out. -- Maroon Baboon 08/02/2021 3:20PM
  5k followers. Not buying it ** -- HokieJamie 08/02/2021 3:19PM
  I bet ya VT has done same. ** -- MrFantastic! 08/02/2021 3:13PM
  Most these tweets are just to get things stirred. ** -- MrFantastic! 08/02/2021 3:21PM
  And get "views and clicks" ! ** -- FLKEYSHOKIE 08/02/2021 6:45PM

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