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HokieForever

Joined: 10/06/1998 Posts: 17376
Likes: 6550


This is what I have learned, no matter how many times the lesson is


taught we seem to forget history one way or the other. I personally agree with this guys analysis, and many others like him, but that does not follow the narrative.

Having said that, interesting paragraph:

Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with Covid-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%). It is also possible that some of the passengers who were infected might die later, and that tourists may have different frequencies of chronic diseases — a risk factor for worse outcomes with SARS-CoV-2 infection — than the general population. Adding these extra sources of uncertainty, reasonable estimates for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population vary from 0.05% to 1%.

HokieForever
[Post edited by HokieForever at 03/18/2020 1:20PM]

(In response to this post by beergutvt)

Posted: 03/18/2020 at 1:18PM



+0

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Current Thread:
  He addresses that in the article ** -- HokieForever 03/18/2020 1:53PM

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