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33laszlo99

Joined: 02/21/2013 Posts: 493
Likes: 219

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It will not surprise me if payouts exceed $100 million by 2029. But I will be surprised if The SEC is able to surpass The B1G. They indicate a movement in SEC revenue from "high 50's" to "high 90's" over two years. Texas and Oklahoma ain't gonna do that. ESPN already has content from all the P5 conferences and two G5's. Where are they putting all these games? Are they willing to walk away from some of these contracts as they expire? I don't think their advertising sales people will allow them to give up on the B1G, and that's expensive content.
The ACC forecast might be the only one they got right; fixed income with a little bump from expanded playoffs. The Big XII will not likely continue to draw a P5 paycheck regardless of their "Autonomous" designation. The PAC 12 is just a crap-shoot. Nothing would surprise me there including massive defections to The B1G or SEC.
If The SEC fails to achieve the growth projected by this report, particularly in that 2024 - 2026 window, they will experience the same suffocation as the ACC, living with a long-duration ESPN contract (2032.) Meanwhile the B1G makes hay with short-term deals.
If ESPN made promises to The SEC based on playoff expansion, those promises will vaporize. ESPN may participate in the new playoff scheme, but they won't own it anymore.

(In response to this post by Old Line Hokie)

Posted: 03/15/2022 at 5:08PM


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Current Thread:
 
  Interesting site that estimates conference payout by 2029 -- goldendomer 03/15/2022 2:12PM
  With the Longhorns gone, the Big 12 can -- Marooned 03/19/2022 10:11AM
  I would not pay to see the Big 12 games. ** -- IB4TECH 03/19/2022 9:23PM
  Folks that follow the schools and in their footprint would -- Marooned 03/20/2022 09:56AM
  Agree and disagree -- Vienna_Hokie 03/21/2022 09:23AM
  New Big 12 -- Millpoint 03/15/2022 9:44PM
  Good thing we got Comcast to sign with the ACCN -- Truthahn 03/16/2022 4:29PM
  Acc subscription model a bit different -- Mercury 03/21/2022 09:01AM
  Ya, I get that. I don't expect certain disaster. -- Truthahn 03/17/2022 5:26PM
  Ack, this should be a reply to 2hhoop3 ** -- Truthahn 03/17/2022 5:27PM
  The graph..... -- 2hhoop3 03/16/2022 4:40PM
  When you see these numbers you have to think -- Millpoint 03/15/2022 4:37PM
  Where does ND fit in that picture? -- Truthahn 03/16/2022 12:45PM
  There will be two super conferences, then......a lower tier -- TerryD 03/16/2022 1:37PM
  ND will attempt their own conference ** -- MrFantastic! 03/16/2022 6:32PM
  This is sort of my point, but seriously -- Truthahn 03/17/2022 5:29PM
  Nah, that possible moment has passed -- TerryD 03/17/2022 06:02AM
  Yeah, Vanderbilt soon will be a real power house -- ScottsdaleHokie 03/18/2022 9:36PM
  I wouldn't count out the ND-USC axis to put something together. -- Maroon Baboon 03/17/2022 3:10PM
  That would be interesting. Take the top of -- goldendomer 03/16/2022 9:35PM
  Football only and money ** -- MrFantastic! 03/17/2022 03:56AM
  Hard to say without knowing what line ND would make on that graph. -- Truthahn 03/16/2022 2:45PM
  No, I am saying that ND will be worth that in the Big Ten -- TerryD 03/17/2022 05:57AM
  I don't see it. -- Truthahn 03/17/2022 5:38PM
  That sums up our position well. We will wait till the last second -- goldendomer 03/16/2022 1:46PM
  It is going to be wild. With the numbers being thrown -- goldendomer 03/15/2022 4:40PM
  VT was very stupid to sign that GOR. Said it at that time and -- 133193Hokie 03/16/2022 10:43AM
  You were wrong then and still wrong today :) -- gman86 03/27/2022 10:21AM
  I guess you hate the ACC and expect us to be SEC school NOT -- Mercury 03/16/2022 9:01PM
  If Tech doesn't achieve AAU status by the end of the GOR.... -- Old Line Hokie 03/17/2022 09:47AM
  What do you believe..... -- 2hhoop3 03/16/2022 12:04PM
  VT had options that Clem and FSU did/does not have. UNC is a -- 133193Hokie 03/16/2022 2:35PM
  I sure don't want us to be like Maryland. -- ScottsdaleHokie 03/18/2022 9:39PM
  What are .... -- 2hhoop3 03/16/2022 4:24PM
  Notre Dame wanted to maintain its independence in football, find a home -- VTHokie2000 03/16/2022 11:23PM
  I agree..... -- 2hhoop3 03/17/2022 12:21PM
  In 7 years, the ACC will be making less than what the B1G makes now. ** -- Old Line Hokie 03/15/2022 4:19PM
  SEC is a client of this company (NAVIGATE) -- 33laszlo99 03/15/2022 5:08PM

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