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6thStreetHokie

Joined: 07/22/2004 Posts: 9026
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KenPom's explanation of Luck sounds like post game win expectancy


"The easiest one to understand is Luck, which is the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method"

I won't begin to pretend i know what the correlated gaussian method is, but i think if you lose or win a lot of close games your Luck is one way or the other. but i don't think it's actual "Luck" but how you execute at the end of games like we've outlined on the message board

(In response to this post by HokieDBA)

Posted: 01/20/2022 at 4:17PM


+1

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Current Thread:
 
  Pomeroy Luck Metric -- HokieDBA 01/20/2022 3:11PM
  Luck doesnt exist... -- GCHokie34 01/20/2022 4:25PM
  The Invisible Hand Guides All -- Newt 01/20/2022 7:10PM
  "A real man makes his own luck", Billy Zane, Titanic ** -- 6thStreetHokie 01/20/2022 5:58PM
  That's actually the wrong conclusion. It actually says that relying on the -- King of Hokies 01/20/2022 4:37PM
  What it literally says... -- GCHokie34 01/20/2022 6:16PM
  The word "should" is not an analytical term. So what it *literally means* -- King of Hokies 01/20/2022 6:56PM
  He actually has it literally exactly right. ** -- Gobbler-100 01/20/2022 11:37PM
  No, he literally doesn't. Quoting a website -- King of Hokies 01/21/2022 03:31AM
  But the metric does predict that VT's chances of winning any given game are -- johnmcd40 01/20/2022 5:42PM
  KenPom's explanation of Luck sounds like post game win expectancy -- 6thStreetHokie 01/20/2022 4:17PM
  The bottom line is that anyone who tries to analyze a basketball game or -- King of Hokies 01/20/2022 3:45PM

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