a steady incline in daily deaths to above 200 a day by October 1. Now the model shows a steep drop in daily deaths in mid to late September from close to 240 a day to around 80 a day by October 1. You can't see out farther than that, but it would appear it continues to go down. So I guess Florida is going full New York. Steep curve up, steep curve down. They also model what would happen with the universal use of masks, with deaths going to 40 or fewer by August, but masks are uncomfortable, so... In any case, models are not that great anyway in general for predicting things, but it's all we've got.

One thing of interest, if you watch Peak Prosperity's video from a day or so ago on YouTube, data seems to suggest now that they may not be a second wave. If you get hit hard in wave 1, that may be all she wrote. New York, Italy, Spain... all show similar curves. Steep going up, then down to almost nothing. Maybe the same thing will happen with Florida.