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Stanford Antibody Study is out

TLDR = In the study area (SF area), for every person testing positive there were 50 to 85 people who had already had the virus. This was as of April 3-4. Lots of implications but a big one is the denominator in the mortality calculation is much larger. There should be a lot more data forthcoming, as studies like this are occurring all over the world. See link.

Link: SF Chronicle

Posted: 04/18/2020 at 08:50AM

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Current Thread:

Stanford Antibody Study is out -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 08:50AM

Apparently other common cold coronavirus are always around. ... -- DaveVT 04/18/2020 11:15AM

My understanding is these are specific to covid 19 -- Synaesthesia 04/18/2020 12:26PM

This makes sense. There is no way the virus propagated so quickly and far -- NWHokie 04/18/2020 10:25AM

The study itself suggests your guess is too high by order of magnitude ** -- Synaesthesia 04/18/2020 11:02AM

Maybe, but I still think 30% is realistic. ** -- NWHokie 04/18/2020 12:06PM

Yep. And results from randon c19 tests from town outside boston. 146/397 -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:01AM

Serious Q for any of you experts... -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 09:50AM

False positives are a very small %. Best way is to provide an uncertainty -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:10AM

How do we know false positives are very low? ** -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 10:15AM

I still think that study is way too small to mean much -- DaveVT 04/18/2020 09:26AM

Biggest problem with its dataset is likelihood of self-selection bias -- Synaesthesia 04/18/2020 11:11AM

Stanfords own conclusions say its enough to recalibrate predictions. Yes -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:13AM

That’s what she said ** -- OXVT 04/18/2020 09:31AM

Coronavirus antibody testing finds Bay Area infections may be 85X higher -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 08:53AM

Do we have a good idea how long an asymptomatic person can spread the virus -- Tuckahokie 04/18/2020 09:05AM

If I had to take a SWAG... -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 09:13AM

Ive seen 24 to 28 days for the full cycle to fatality. Maybe 4? Days befor -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:18AM