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To be fair, models us R zero of 3 for c19. Generation time of 5d. What yo

You point out is the mismatch in model vs real incoming data.

Current thinking is c19 vectors are: droplets, surfaces and fecal/oral. Each is a component of R zero. If r zero is really 3, and its been here for 60 to 90 days...the model would say a growing % of us are or have already heen infected. The experts are backing off those model predictions....(i listen very closely to what they say and what they say different, and what they dont say...

(In response to this post by GreensboroHokie)

Posted: 03/30/2020 at 4:50PM

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The latest buzz word: exponential -- GreensboroHokie 03/30/2020 12:01PM

X squared. ** -- MikeVT85 03/30/2020 8:43PM

To be fair, models us R zero of 3 for c19. Generation time of 5d. What yo -- ColoVT82 03/30/2020 4:50PM

Cases have been doubling about every 3 days in the US for a month -- bulab 03/30/2020 12:52PM

Doubling every 3 days is a steep line, but not exponential -- GreensboroHokie 03/31/2020 4:33PM

Doubling at same interval is not a straight line ** -- bulab 03/31/2020 5:31PM

The problem is that has more to do with testing rates than infection rates -- Vienna_Hokie 03/30/2020 1:33PM

You would think this is a fairly simple concept. Look at deaths -- LaneRat 03/30/2020 1:56PM

By my math, projected 200,000 U.S. deaths would be about 60 per 100K -- uwhokie 03/30/2020 4:45PM

Deaths are outcome, key to saving lives is effective medical intervention -- Vienna_Hokie 03/30/2020 2:14PM

Exponential has certainly become as misused as “literally” or GOAT. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 03/30/2020 12:47PM

Or “decimated”. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 03/30/2020 12:49PM

Dude, that is a math term. Americans generally are not good at Math. -- vt_mughal 03/30/2020 12:44PM

As in pEmdas? ** -- Gadfly 03/30/2020 12:42PM

Social networks have exponential growth in membership ** -- lchoro 03/30/2020 12:26PM

The data for NC I found looks exponential up until Friday -- jmanatVT 03/30/2020 12:22PM

Tend to agree. Optimistically, it makes me thing social distancing is -- BG Hokie 03/30/2020 12:04PM

We are pretty much caught up on backlog. And if infection rate is as -- Concord Dan 03/30/2020 12:20PM

Caught up on the testing backlog but there is still a huge results backlog. ** -- RoswellGAHokie 03/30/2020 1:57PM