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bulab

Joined: 09/19/1998 Posts: 35961
Likes: 3539

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Some risks are solitary, some are multiplicative


When you cross the street, you could die. And yet people cross the road all the time. I don't fault people for living their lives when it comes to crossing the street, playing football, or even climbing Mt. Everest (mortality rate 6.5%).

Other risks like pandemics are multiplicative. One person's risk taking spreads risk to another person. More like 2-4 other people in this case. It's not a non-sequitur to point this out.

(In response to this post by vthokieq)

Posted: 03/21/2020 at 7:26PM


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  Long read but interesting. -- two91hokies 03/21/2020 6:04PM
  This article has been erased from the Internet. Why??? ** -- BobG 03/22/2020 07:17AM
  Um its mathematically possible that over 10% of us could get the 19.. ** -- UTPr0sim 03/21/2020 7:07PM
  I appreciate his argument but completely disagree -- bulab 03/21/2020 6:52PM
  I agree but... -- Major Kong 03/21/2020 8:10PM
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  Yup -- vthokieq 03/22/2020 08:20AM
  Some risks are solitary, some are multiplicative -- bulab 03/21/2020 7:26PM
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