are slim. And I don't think 9-9 in the ACC guarantees anything. I think it puts us in good shape, but I'm not counting on it. Per RPI Forecast, a 9-9 record would give us an RPI of about 49. Likely in, but not a given and very possibly ending up in a play-in game.

As far as the individual chances to win each game, I give us a 50/50 or better chance in 5 of the last 6 games. But most of those games are so close to 50/50 that it's hard to count on winning them all. Frankly, winning 3 of 5 would be a decent effort.

Individually, I say these are the odds...

UVA: 12%
@Pitt: 50% (cointoss game)
@Louisville: 10%
Clemson: 58%
@BC: 65%
Miami: 53%
Wake: 55%

With four wins, as I said, we're probably in. Depending on our ACCT effort, we could end up in the NIT (doubtful) or in the play-in... or we could get ourselves solidly in. Win 5 of the remaining regular season games, and we're a lock. But the most realistic scenario is 3 wins IMO, which isn't enough short of at least making the ACCCG.