American Pharoah last year if it's muddy and wire the field, which I strongly suspect he can do. If the track gets upgraded to at least Good by post time, expect him sit just off the pace IF anyone even tries to get the lead. Otherwise, Nyquist will set his own pace.

Yeah, I think there's little chance that he will lose this race regardless of weather.

Nothing will beat AP in the deluge last year, though.