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clemson81nc

Joined: 09/02/2012 Posts: 1105
Likes: 648


That’s the whole point, in areas where


There has been widespread testing the infection rate is HUGE which mathematically means the mortality rate has to be revised down sometimes 10x or even 20x. It amazes me how many people just don’t understand or refuse to accept this. When the denominator goes up that much the mortality rate goes down. The media and medical establishment love to put up figure of “known cases” and deaths (which is an entirely different issue but I’ll give them death number, I’ll concede it for sake of argument) and come up with say 5% mortality but the case number is nowhere near the actual infection number.

There are credible medical and scientific people not getting air time who estimate when this entire episode is over the mortality rate will be between 5 and 20 basis points. That is in the range of the flu (I know I know laugh away) which I believe normally runs about .10% off the top of my head but can fluctuate pretty big.

Look I’m terribly sorry for everyone who has been harmed and their loved ones harmed, I had a grand parent die of respiratory illness likely linked to flu and I had two great grandparents killed during the Spanish flu. We can swap anecdotes all day, but massive decisions like forcing people to lose their business and no leave their house have to be made on different grounds. We need to protect the vulnerable but this notion every person can’t live when all the evidence is this is very mild in a huge percentage of cases to those under X age with no conditions is being ignored, for reasons you need to think about.

(In response to this post by arlingtonhokie)

Posted: 06/18/2020 at 9:25PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
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