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HokieAl

Joined: 10/07/1999 Posts: 15853
Likes: 4627


I have my doubts on that.


Unemployment is still somewhere between 13-17%. Many small and large businesses are still in the process of trying to survive (multiple large bankruptcies already). Even the very large companies are having some layoffs and/or hiring freezes. I've heard talk at my company that there might not be any bonuses for anyone this year, which would affect how much people spend.

The virus is far from over and may erupt into a second wave by the end of this year (or even this summer), which would further impact the economy. The travel industry is still very much beaten down and will not be at full capacity for a long time.

The stock market is being propped up by Fed spending and is a bit of an overinflated bubble given that we still haven't seen the full quarterly impacts from COVID. Lots of companies did not even give forward guidance on their recent quarterly reports.

Many companies are still in an extended work from home stance that may be permanent for a lot of workers and thus affect commercial real estate as well as local businesses that depend on that foot traffic from office workers.

And globally there is a TON of debt from governments to keep economies from collapsing that will impact policies, taxes, and basic services in many countries for a long time.

I'm not trying to be doom and gloom. These are just some basic observations I see that the economy is far from recovered or even stable.

(In response to this post by GreenvilleVT)

Posted: 06/08/2020 at 09:43AM



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Current Thread:
  They cooked the books on unemployment -- lchoro 06/08/2020 10:54AM
  Who cooked them? ** -- GreenvilleVT 06/08/2020 10:55AM
  Fed ** -- Stork 06/08/2020 10:57AM
  Ted? ** -- FfxStationHokie 06/08/2020 11:06AM
  Jed? -- Spud 06/08/2020 11:15AM
  "Red", He's a bad man. ** -- AZHokie59 06/08/2020 2:01PM
  LOL. 13% unemployment and the recession is over. -- TJ Hokie 06/08/2020 10:50AM
  Is that you, Larry? ** -- Gadfly 06/08/2020 10:09AM
  I would love to see "less overkill" -- `lag 06/08/2020 1:19PM
  I agree. Lots of shifts ahead. I am told many of the -- GreenvilleVT 06/08/2020 09:52AM
  It would be the first -- Vippie1 06/08/2020 09:43AM
  More than half of the people on unemployment in the US -- GreenvilleVT 06/08/2020 10:38AM
  It won’t be over that for long especially with -- GreenvilleVT 06/08/2020 09:54AM
  I have my doubts on that. -- HokieAl 06/08/2020 09:43AM

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