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Except testing has expanded, and the fatality rate const. increased

If the testing has only tested the sickest, then it wouldn’t consistently increase over time as it has. It should be more stable. Unless people who are getting it now are somehow more sick then people who were getting it before them, and in a mathematically consistent way.

But that’s irrelevant because testing has in fact increased (not enough, but it has), and many more people don’t have it. And yet the fatality rate is increasing steadily.

(In response to this post by JoesterVT)

Posted: 04/18/2020 at 12:11PM

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Current Thread:

US fatality rate 5.2% and still climbing (source: JH site) -- WestyHokie 04/18/2020 09:45AM

Since the majority of confirmed cases are severe enough to get medical -- Vienna_Hokie 04/18/2020 1:37PM

Dirty data in and dirty data out -- turkeywinghokie 04/18/2020 1:33PM

Most all NYC kids have already had coronavirus -- lchoro 04/18/2020 12:04PM

That is rate for people testing positive -- not overall population -- Hokie Fiji 04/18/2020 11:19AM

Hard time believing it is that high, but 1/1000 have died in NYC -- Air-Ic 04/18/2020 10:28AM

That does appear to be the overall probability -- Hokie Fiji 04/18/2020 11:28AM

Probably need to look at South Korea as the best example of a very large -- Tuckahokie 04/18/2020 10:20AM

Iceland is a much better data source. They've tested > 11% of their entire -- HokieEngineer 04/18/2020 2:35PM

Actually we're testing more, per capita, than S. Korea. 1.08% > 1.05% -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:31AM

They also started testing earlier ** -- Air-Ic 04/18/2020 11:29AM

Seems to me it is the % of population that matters when trying to re-open. ** -- Femoyer Hokie 04/18/2020 11:26AM

Definitely need to look at North Korea as well -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 10:29AM

I doubt people socialize much in NKO so it may not spread fast. ** -- Hoakie82 04/18/2020 7:03PM

NK must be running out of ammo if they have no cases still. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 04/18/2020 11:06AM

Can you provise a link please? ** -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 09:59AM

He said the JH site. But when I run the numbers there it's closer to 4.5% -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 10:06AM

It's bad math...limited testing only testing the sickest patients... -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 09:57AM

Except testing has expanded, and the fatality rate const. increased -- WestyHokie 04/18/2020 12:11PM

Yesterday, VDH specifically said they are limiting testing outside of... -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 12:25PM

^^This^^ Not at all hard to understand, but you really have to dig to find -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:10AM

Yep. The denominator remains very unk. ** -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:12AM

Doesn't jive with the Stanford antibody study -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 09:53AM

Also note results on town near boston...146/397 random positive...wonder -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:03AM

Who knows? -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 10:13AM

Oh, you bet there is. They cant even get day of update actuals correct ** -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:15AM

What has happened to science? ** -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:20AM

The word that is not to be spoken ** -- HokieForever 04/18/2020 10:53AM