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ColoVT82

Joined: 01/01/2005 Posts: 9973
Likes: 6772


New data to chew on - Germany, Iceland and chicago.


Germany (1000 people Heinsberg area) - 15% population infected, fatality rate 0.37%

Iceland - (~9% of total population tested) - 5% tested positive for c19, fatality rate 0.36%. (Equivalent percapita #tests in usa is about 30M...we are just above 2M as of yesterday, growing at 150k/day)

Roseland hospital (near Chicago) - 30-50% have antibodies (!)

The area in Germany tested was a region where c19 blew up early (Heinsberg).

These a just a few emerging data points. Stuff like peer review, assignment of "cause of death" rulesets (Apple to Apple comparison between countries), #false positive/negatives tempers drawing any big conclusions. The data is, however, interesting at where it's pointing.

As discussed earlier, at 15% infected/have antibody rate, it is only about 10-14d to effective herd immunity. Remember, the folks tested that display positive are already 5-10 days into the infection cycle...




Link: Roseland hospital


Posted: 04/10/2020 at 08:18AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
New data to chew on - Germany, Iceland and chicago. -- ColoVT82 04/10/2020 08:18AM
  $69 private firms testing for anti-bodies MA ** -- DaveVT 04/10/2020 10:03AM
  Antibody testing to begin in LA today -- LaneRat 04/10/2020 09:56AM
  Thnkx. ** -- ColoVT82 04/10/2020 10:01AM
  Agry and drink heavily ** -- HokieForever 04/10/2020 09:00AM
  Well, it is Friday...! ** -- ColoVT82 04/10/2020 09:08AM
  Yea, looks like only 10% tested so far. -- Stork 04/10/2020 08:29AM
  Leads the world as % of pop. As far as i can tell ** -- ColoVT82 04/10/2020 08:57AM
  Well yeah, there's only like 400k people. ** -- `lag 04/10/2020 09:14AM

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