What you said in your post isn't wrong. How do you think Vegas figures out how to get equal money? That's right, stats, algorithms, etc. The serious bettors have stats and algorithms of their own. A 4.5 point line doesn't mean that team is believed to be 4.5 points better. But it's generally indicative of stats and algorithms finding that team to be a bit better. The line action after is "generally" indicative of how well the line was believed to be set. When the line started at VT -3, a lot of money came in on VT, thus Vegas raised the line higher to get more action to WVU. People don't place bets they're going to lose. So naturally, if a lot more money came in on VT -3 than on WVU +3, then the general thought is that Virginia Tech is the better team. Those people wouldn't bet on VT if they thought otherwise.

We're basically saying something very similar as it turns out. Or you're just trying to disagree simply to disagree. Because the previous two posts were basically.

Me: Point A.
You: Geez, I can't believe you said point B! Let me explain Point A and get a little more technical.

But yes, VT being a 3 point favorite is generally indicative (key words) of the general view in the betting community that VT is a little better. Even more indicative though is the line has moved even more in VT's favor.

At the very least, a CLEARLY better team (as the article implied and I was mostly referring to with my original point where this came up) would not be a 4.5 point (and growing) underdog.

[Post edited by VTECHFAN at 07/09/2017 10:33PM]