VT has a 21.4% chance of winning the rest of our ACC games, but that is really dragged down by the Pitt odds, which says we have a 43.5% chance of winning on Thursday. We get by Pitt this week, and our odds of running through the rest of our ACC slate goes to 50/50.

Interestingly, UNC has a 47.8% chance of winning out their ACC games. The FPI is a bit of a mystery to me, but my takeaway from this is that even if we lose on Thursday, there is still a 50/50 shot that if we win out our ACC games from there, we're gonna win the Coastal; because UNC still has a 50/50 shot of losing a game and the odds indicate that Pitt is likely to lose at least two of their remaining 4 ACC games after this Thursday.

So I like the position we are in. Not getting Clemson, FSU, or Louisville is really helping us out.