We're only likely to be the favorite in one more game (and I'm not sure it's a given that we are the favorite in Chestnut Hill).

BC is a game we should win, but we could easily lose (they almost beat UNC at home earlier this week). We barely beat Wake at home earlier this year. Now we get them on the road, though I think we're better than we were when we played Wake and they aren't as good IMO.

FSU isn't a great matchup for us. Neither is Pitt IMO. And then you have Miami who is clearly better than us, and we get them twice.

Expecting 3 wins is VERY optimistic. Expecting four is borderline insane IMO. I'm not saying it can't be done. But it's not very likely.