I don’t know we want to talk about models still. They can wrong and often biased. You don’t need a model to tell you what happened in Italy and NYC will happen in other places.

Data out of San Francisco is that 2% of the population has likely been exposed there. Likely less in rural areas although everyone I know thinks they already had it.

Will need much high % for herd immunity and prevention of second and third waves.

No reason to believe opening up the economy won’t go well in the summer.

The real challenge will be during the start of school year.