you can't throw his record completely out the window. If you do that, you need to throw CJF's record at Memphis out the window too.
Don't get me wrong, I hope he doesn't succeed at UVA for obvious reasons but he's shown he can win at D1 level as much as CJF had shown he could too before he came to VT. Different schools, different settings, and with Bronco different culture for sure, but it's not like he's never done this kind of work at a historically good D1 program...better than Memphis historically.