Inside The Numbers: Turnover Rate, And A NET/RPI Comparison

Virginia Tech
Mike Young is busy trying to figure out Virginia Tech’s turnover problem. (Virginia Tech athletics)

Let’s talk a little bit more about Virginia Tech’s turnovers. Here are the year-by-year turnover rate rankings for all Hokie teams of the past 10 seasons, per Ken Pomeroy, under both Mike Young and Buzz Williams:

SeasonTO Rate RankCoach
2023-24242Young
2022-2312Young
2021-2286Young
2020-2184Young
2019-204Young
2018-19100Buzz
2017-1875Buzz
2016-1778Buzz
2015-16172Buzz
2014-15106Buzz

Williams’ best team in terms of turnover rate ranked only No. 75 nationally, but none of his teams ranked below No. 172. Meanwhile, Young’s tenure has featured the three big outliers. As of Monday afternoon when these numbers were run, his current team ranks No. 242 in turnover rate, which is by far the worst of all Hokie teams of the past 10 years. In fact, it’s only the second time since Tech joined the ACC that it ranked below 200; the other team was James Johnson’s 2013-14 bunch.

Meanwhile, his very first team in Blacksburg ranked No. 4 nationally, which is how it was able to keep its head above water that year despite playing so many freshmen and having an undersized center. Last year’s team was also an excellent No. 12 nationally in turnover rate.

So, why the dropoff from one year to the next? Some would point to the loss of Justyn Mutts in comparison to his replacements (Robbie Beran and Mekhi Long), except that doesn’t make sense, because Mutts had a turnover problem himself at times. Here’s his 2022-23 turnover rate compared to Beran and Long this year:

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