I didn’t participate in CC’s recent roundtable about the expectations for Logan Thomas this year, but reading the article did get me thinking: what if Logan’s senior year goes like the senior years of Jim Druckenmiller , Bryan Randall and Tyrod Taylor ?
The three QBs I just named are all guys who were having solid careers going into their senior years, and a few games into their last season, suddenly turned a corner and started playing like gangbusters. Each QB hit their stride with eight games to go (in the case of Druckenmiller and Randall) or nine games to go (in Tyrod’s case), and led their team on a long winning streak and to a conference championship.
Here are their stats, broken down into the “early” part of their careers (prior to the hot finish), and their career-ending hot streaks … I didn’t clog the table up with a lot of data, because I wanted to show the main areas where their performance took a positive jump at the end:
QB | Time Period | Comp.
Pct. | Pass Yds/Gm | TDs | INTs | QB Eff.
Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Druckenmiller | first 29 games | 53.1% | 110.7 | 20 | 18 | 120.0 |
Druckenmiller | last 8 games | 55.9% | 192.0 | 16 | 1 | 157.5 |
Bryan Randall | first 41 games | 58.8% | 124.0 | 32 | 28 | 131.0 |
Bryan Randall | last 8 games | 58.0% | 177.8 | 16 | 3 | 155.1 |
Tyrod Taylor | first 41 games | 56.7% | 125.4 | 28 | 18 | 132.0 |
Tyrod Taylor | last 9 games | 58.8% | 208.2 | 16 | 2 | 154.3 |
Note: Randall and Taylor both split time with other QBs early in their careers, which reduced their yards per game passing |
The statistical parallels are almost eerie. For Druck, BR, and Tyrod, strong finishes weren’t really about their completion percentage going up … it was about their yards per game increasing and especially their TD:INT ratio suddenly going through the roof. They quit making mistakes and started making clutch plays.
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