Many prognosticators are picking a Hokie loss tonight, and the consensus —
though it’s definitely not unanimous — is that it’s a close match, but the
Wolverines have a little bit too much for the Hokies. Here at TSL, we picked
Michigan to win by six points (Chris Coleman) and three points (yours truly),
while beat writers Andy Bitter and Mark Giannotto both picked Michigan to win
27-24. Everyone has given their reasons why Michigan could win, but in this
article, I’ll list the factors that could lead the Hokies to victory.
It’s just a few hours till game time, so this won’t be a long article. Let’s
launch right into it. The reasons the Hokies will win:
1.) Denard Robinson is a big part of Michigan’s ground game, and he’s not a
Michigan message boards are buzzing with rumors that Shoelace tweaked his
ankle in practice, and one source even told TSL (second hand) that Robinson
rolled his ankle late last week and has been seen in a walking boot.
If there’s any truth to the rumor, and if Robinson is anything less than full
speed, it could make a big difference in his ability to perform. He’s a huge
part of Michigan’s ground game (he’s their leading rusher), and anything less
than top efficiency could slow Michigan down.
2.) Michigan doesn’t have the passing offense to beat Virginia Tech.
Virginia Tech typically loses to teams with very good passing QBs. The Hokie
defense is structured to stop the run and force the quarterback to beat them
through the air. Most college QBs can’t. Matt Ryan could. Kellen Moore could.
Andrew Luck could. Denard Robinson isn’t the passing QB those guys are.
Furthermore, Michigan’s top wide receivers, Junior Hemingway and Jeremy
Gallon, have just 32 and 30 receptions respectively, and a total of just 1,086
yards and five receiving TDs. For comparison’s sake, Jarrett Boykin and Danny
Coale have combined for 109 catches, 1,518 yards, and eight TDs.
3.) The Hokies will win the turnover battle.
Michigan is 26th in the nation in turnover margin, and the Hokies are right
behind them at 30th. It’s a draw, right?
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