The loss to Duke didn’t hurt. The loss to BC wasn’t a disaster. But the loss
to Maryland put the Hokies behind the eight ball. Although respected
bracketologists Joe Lunardi and Jerry Palm currently have the Hokies in the NCAA
tournament as a 12 seed and 11 seed respectively, a home loss to NC State would
derail that. A loss to Georgia Tech on Saturday wouldn’t exactly help, either.
In a regular season that’s 30 games long, it’s hard to say if any one game
matters more than any other game. We always advocate looking at seasons in
three- or four-game blocks. Look for trends and don’t get hung up on the results
of any given contest.
Well, the Hokies have lost three in a row, and unfortunately, that does
make the next game important, particularly when you consider it’s against the
#108 team in the RPI.
Here’s my thing with the NCAA selection committee: Don’t give them an
excuse. Do not give them an excuse to leave you out of the
tournament. They’ve already got one excuse to exclude the Hokies: strength of
schedule, which according to CBSSports.com
is 133 overall, but a hideous 338 (out of 347) in out of conference games (gee,
thanks, Penn State  and Iowa ).
I’ve heard over the years that when the committee considers teams, it’s not
so much the individual RPI of a team that matters, as it is how well that team
has done against various RPI groups. The Hokies are #52 in today’s RPI, and
here’s their breakdown, per CBSSports.com, as of 1 p.m., March 3, 2010:
|vs. RPI 1-25||0-3|
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