Virginia Tech and ACC Tournament Scenarios

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Buzz Williams
Despite Saturday’s loss, Buzz Williams and the Hokies still have a good resume. (Ivan Morozov)

Despite Virginia Tech’s loss to Wake Forest on Saturday, the Hokies are still in a great position to make the NCAA Tournament.  In fact, they have a much better resume than the last couple of times they were left out.

Let’s take a look at a couple past snubs by the Committee.

Here are the numbers in 2010, per…

Overall: 23-8
ACC: 10-6
RPI: #59
Top 50 Wins: 3 (but no Top 25 RPI wins)

Here are the numbers in 2011, per…

Overall: 21-11
ACC: 9-7
RPI: #61
Top 50 Wins: 1 (a Top 25 RPI win)

Considering RPI rankings and Top 50 wins have always seemed to be the two most important categories for the committee, our “snub” in 2011 wasn’t exactly a snub.  The Hokies were outside the Top 50, and they beat just Top 50 team all season. Ironically, their ACC Tournament win over Florida State knocked the Seminoles outside the Top 50.

The 2010 team had a stronger argument. They won more overall games, more conference games, had a better RPI, and beat three times as many Top 50 teams.  That team was left out because of their non-conference strength of schedule.

Here are Virginia Tech’s current numbers, per (I’m using RPIForecast for the current numbers because RPIForecast also has the RPI Wizard, which lets users project future results).