Virginia Tech In a Good Position With Three Games Remaining

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Zach LeDay
Zach LeDay has Tech poised to make the school’s first NCAA Tournament since 2007. (Ivan Morozov)

Before yesterday’s game, Virginia Tech was projected to go 20-10 overall and 9-9 in the ACC by RPIForecast.com, which in turn is based on Jeff Sagarin’s predictor.  At that point, Tech was projected to finish with an RPI of 49.7 and an SOS of 69.  The predictors have not been updated since before the results of all of Monday’s games.  However, we do know that as of now, the Hokies are #36 in the RPI with the #58 SOS, and we can play with the RPI Wizard to give ourselves a look at what Tech’s resume could look like at the end of the season.

Tech has three remaining games with Boston College, Miami and Wake Forest.  Let’s examine all possible scenarios.  While reading each section, I want you to remember the following numbers.

Remember, when the Hokies were left out every single year from 2008-11?  Here was their RPI on Selection Sunday each of those years.

2008: #54
2009: #59
2010: #59
2011: #61

You could have made a strong argument for the Hokies in 2007, 2010 and 2011, but as you can see their RPI was outside the Top 50 in all of those seasons.

Now, on to the scenarios.

Scenario #1: The Hokies Win Out

Obviously this is the best possible scenario, and here’s

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