Analyzing Scholarship Offers, Part 2

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Last Friday we took a closer look at scholarship offers and compared the current rosters of Virginia Tech, North Carolina and Clemson. The article showed that the Hokies have a lot more players with three or fewer scholarship offers than the Tar Heels or Tigers. It’s probably not a coincidence that those two teams are currently leading their respective divisions in the ACC. To refresh your memory, you can read the article here.

I’ve said before how confusing the star ranking system can be for casual fans. People that follow recruiting depend on those stars to let them know how good a prospect is. However, that’s not always the way to go. Let’s compare J.C. Coleman to Isaiah Ford, per Rivals.

Coleman: 4-stars, #101 recruit in the country, #3 All-Purpose RB in the country
Ford: 3-stars, #61 recruit in Florida, #67 WR in the country

If you just look at star ratings and position rankings, Coleman was easily the better prospect. Power 5 scholarship offers tell a different story though…

Coleman: Duke, Maryland, Vanderbilt, UVA, West Virginia

Ford: Arkansas, BC, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisville, Maryland, Miami, Michigan State, Minnesota, Mississippi State, North Carolina, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, South Carolina, Texas Tech, Vanderbilt, Wake Forest, West Virginia

Now tell me which prospect was better. The one who was offered 20+ scholarships by highly-paid Power 5 coaches, including some traditional powers, or the guy with five Power 5 offers, including no traditional powers?

Point being, don’t just skim the recruiting lists and look at star rankings. Dig deeper before formulating your opinion on prospects.

I’ve decided to come up with a new ranking system based on Power 5 scholarship offers. We’re still going to use star rankings on TSL, but after Signing Day each year I’ll go back and break down the Power 5 scholarship offers for each player and assign him a certain amount of points.

0 offers: 1 point
1-3 offers: 2 points
4-6 offers: 3 points
7-9 offers: 4 points
10-15 offers: 5 points
16-19 offers: 6 points
20+ offers: 7 points

It’s not a perfect system, of course. In a few cases, the listed scholarship offers won’t be 100% accurate.