This Saturday’s Virginia Tech-Georgia Tech game is the biggest remaining game in ACC play this season. The Hokies, Yellow Jackets and Miami are considered the biggest threats to win the Coastal Division. They’ll all have played each other after this weekend’s game, and hopefully we’ll have a better idea about how the Coastal will shake out.
Miami knocked off Georgia Tech back in September, and the Hokies beat up on the Canes later that month. This game between the Yellow Jackets and Hokies is huge. If Georgia Tech loses, they are effectively knocked out of the Coastal Division race. It would be their second conference loss, and they’d also lose the head-to-head tiebreaker against both Virginia Tech and Miami. That would basically put them three games behind the Hokies (two games in the standings, plus the tiebreaker) and two games behind the Canes (one game in the standings, plus the tiebreaker).
That would also put Virginia Tech in complete control of the Coastal Division race. The Hokies would have the tiebreaker over both Miami and Georgia Tech. Even if Miami won out, VT could still drop one of their final four ACC games and still go to the ACC Championship Game based on the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Canes.
If the Hokies lose this one, that really messes up the picture in the Coastal Division. All three teams have light schedules to close the season, so there is a possibility that they could all finish with one loss in ACC play. What are the three-team tiebreaker scenarios?
We’ll get into more detail about the tiebreakers next week, if necessary (let’s hope it isn’t). For now, just know that it’s likely that a three-way tie of 7-1 teams would be decided by the BCS rankings. I don’t like where that could potentially put Virginia Tech.
The Hokies are ranked #4 in the nation, but Miami is sneaking around at #11 in the Coaches Poll and #12 in the Harris Poll. If the Canes win out, and the Hokies lose to Georgia Tech, at some point ESPN’s Miami propaganda machine could send them jumping ahead of Tech in the rankings, despite the 31-7 VT win in Blacksburg.
That would be a bitter pill to swallow, but it’s how tiebreakers work. Miami could finish ahead of Tech in the BCS standings, if the Hokies don’t win this weekend. Or, they might not. VT has a great strength of schedule, so the computers will be kind. And Tech is still seven or eight spots...
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