Good question and meant to try to answer this the other day..It is
not a simple answer, however. This is always a very difficult aspect to college coaching at the high levels. In fact, roster management, in general, is extremely difficult at the ACC level. You definitely describe something to be concerned with from the college's perspective. It really depends on the family and "what they are hoping to get/looking for." It is not longer about what round you go in, but what is "your signing price." When you have some leverage, whether it be an incoming college player, or an existing college player, typically (a well advised player at least) you will set "your price." So, it leaves the actual round out (there can be some correlation to the round and the money), and comes more down to will the team "meet the players price" in the selection process. The good incoming recruits will let their college coach know what they are wanting to get, and if they get it, they go to the pro level. If not, they come to school. The round pick has a recommended slot value, but if the organization really wants the kid, and they know school is a Real option, they may move a little more money there instead (which means they may lose it on another pick). When the kid has no leverage (basically eligibility left), there is zero negotiation there.
If the family really wants a big price, and you are not a sure fire really, really high pick, chances are you will go to school. I will say that it seems (and this is not a given) we have a pretty decent chance to have them both here. Certainly one more than the other but one is slightly ahead of the other. Of course, sticking to their asking price is also key, and not wavering. I think it will be an interesting draft for the entire program. Some draft uncertainty for those incoming guys and some guys already hereand all bets are off with a 20 round draft instead of 40. Over two thirds of mlb players are drafted out of a Four year college and another almost 10 percent are picked from a JC. That is over 75% coming from college, and that has been trending more that way for a good while. We shall see, but a decent chance they show up in Blacksburg [Post edited by VTScoop at 06/04/2021 9:13PM]