All Hokie, All the Time. Period.

Virginia Tech Football Board


Joined: 6/13/07 Posts: 234
Likes: 165

What no one (that I have heard) has stated is the overall change in

the death rate. We do not live forever. Given typical life expectancy, we can probably expect to lose 1.25%/year to all causes of death. With COVID-19 having impacted the data for 3.5 months, we could probably expect about a 0.4% death rate from all causes during that time period if COVID-19 had had no effect. With COVID-19 deaths measured at 0.04%, it is not clear how the 0.04% has affected the expected 0.4% overall death rate. Is it strictly an adder (no one whose death was linked to COVID-19 would have died from something else had it not been for COVID-19)? I doubt that is the case. I would expect the COVID-19 precautions to have reduced the death rate from flu, other communicable deseases and automobile accidents. That reduction may have been enough to keep the overall death rate relatively constant. We also need to consider that those COVID-19 precautions may have increased the death rate for causes such as suicide and substance abuse. Bottom line is that we are probably measuring the wrong thing.

(In response to this post by WhoopACC Hokie)

Posted: 06/29/2020 at 12:51PM


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Current Thread:
  Crisis on demand. ** -- Big D 06/28/2020 3:28PM
  Cases are expected. Watch fatality rate (IFR) ** -- ColoVT82 06/28/2020 2:10PM
  Here is an interesting chart. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/28/2020 1:41PM
  Yeah, I agree. ** -- MP4VT2004 06/28/2020 9:25PM
  I know you probably won't believe this -- Teewinot 06/29/2020 4:29PM
  And about that "testing". Link for you. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:32PM
  Did not defend it, just explained as I could understand it. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/28/2020 4:46PM
  "Many reports"... riiiiight. ** -- AbsolutVT03 06/29/2020 6:44PM
  Here you go.. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:21PM
  Link for you. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:01PM
  Chuckle. Keep thinking that. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/29/2020 7:01PM
  We will revisit the topic one day in the near future. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/29/2020 11:52PM
  Don't question experts!** -- vahokie95 06/30/2020 10:42AM
  LOL should I question this infectious disease expert -- vahokie95 07/01/2020 10:42AM
  Chuckle. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:01PM
  Think 1hokies1 may need to change his posts ... -- MaryWashGrad 06/28/2020 1:41PM
  Not true Hokie fan -- 1hokies1 06/28/2020 4:00PM

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