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AbsolutVT03

Joined: 1/5/01 Posts: 23722
Likes: 8346


We have a number of confirmed cases. We have a number of confirmed deaths.


Using that we can find the case fatality rate. They also have the infection fatality rate that is always going to be an estimate for any virus/illness because there will always be more infections than total reported cases. That's true for the flu, for COVID19, for pretty much any infectious disease. Based on the recent report that they're estimating around 20 million people have been infected that would put the infection fatality rate at about .6%.

Looking at deaths as a percentage of the total population doesn't tell anything about the actual fatality rates unless you're assuming everyone in the country has been infected. If you haven't gotten the virus then you haven't died from it. The only reason to express it as a function of the total population is to downplay the fatality rate. It's a completely meaningless number. It would be insanely small for just about any singular cause of death. For example, breast cancer or car accidents would be around .013%. Heart disease which is the number one cause of death in this country would be .19%. Sorry but it's a bad chart.



[Post edited by AbsolutVT03 at 06/28/2020 3:43PM]

(In response to this post by WhoopACC Hokie)

Posted: 06/28/2020 at 3:37PM



+0

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Current Thread:
  Crisis on demand. ** -- Big D 06/28/2020 3:28PM
  Cases are expected. Watch fatality rate (IFR) ** -- ColoVT82 06/28/2020 2:10PM
  Here is an interesting chart. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/28/2020 1:41PM
  Yeah, I agree. ** -- MP4VT2004 06/28/2020 9:25PM
  I know you probably won't believe this -- Teewinot 06/29/2020 4:29PM
  And about that "testing". Link for you. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:32PM
  Did not defend it, just explained as I could understand it. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/28/2020 4:46PM
  "Many reports"... riiiiight. ** -- AbsolutVT03 06/29/2020 6:44PM
  Here you go.. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:21PM
  Link for you. -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:01PM
  Chuckle. Keep thinking that. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/29/2020 7:01PM
  We will revisit the topic one day in the near future. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/29/2020 11:52PM
  Don't question experts!** -- vahokie95 06/30/2020 10:42AM
  LOL should I question this infectious disease expert -- vahokie95 07/01/2020 10:42AM
  Chuckle. ** -- WhoopACC Hokie 06/30/2020 12:01PM
  Think 1hokies1 may need to change his posts ... -- MaryWashGrad 06/28/2020 1:41PM
  Not true Hokie fan -- 1hokies1 06/28/2020 4:00PM

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