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Hokie Hawk

Joined: 11/24/1999 Posts: 1062
Likes: 348


Looking at the draws and paths to AA


Assuming my eyes and math are correctand not predicting wild upsets which could happen.

133 - Korbin has a winnable 1st round, then faces Suriano. That would drop him into wrestlebacks vs Paetzell from Lehigh who he beat 4-1 this yr. Next up would be Tariq Wilson from the Pack. If he somehow manages to win, he would probably draw the loser of Pletcher/Phillipi for AA.

141 - MM got a little screwed imo with his seed. He gets the Big12 surprise champ Demas who pinned Brock in the finals I believe. Power vs Power matchup I think. Win and he gets Storr for the joy of then having to face Yianni again (even though MM gave him all he could handle this yr). Lose in the 1st round and he gets Finesilver then probably Gil from Navy. Survive that match and he gets Brock who got Mitch-pinned by Demas last weekend. His AA match would probably be Storr. Win in the 1st round and lose to Storr in the 2nd and he gets Turner from Wyoming (very winnable). Then Chad Red from Nebraska and then probably McKee from MN for AA. Very tough path.

149 - Blees has #7 Gfeller from Okie State. Win and he'll get Lugo from Iowa. Lose and he probably gets Maruca from ASU. Then a rematch vs Oliver from the Pack which isn't a good matchup imo. Ryan has to find some offense and throw some caution to the wind.

157 - BC gets Van Bril from Rutgers and if he wins he gets the pleasure of facing Nolf. Dang. If he loses in the 1st round, he gets the pigtail loser, then Barone (IL) or Parks (CMU). Next would be #10 Bleise from MN. Win and he probably sees Humphreys from Lehigh who beat BC 6-1 this yr. If BC wins 1st round and then loses to Nolf, then he gets Barone (IL) or Parks (CMU). Win and he probably gets #9 Pagdilao from ASU. Then it's bloodround vs Early from ODU who BC beat this yr..hoping for an Epperly wrestleback run for BC.

165 - Mekhi gets UVA Coy then probably Romero (Utah Valley). That dude is no joke - beat 3 good wrestlers in the Big12 championships. Win and he gets Marinelli who got spladled by DMF last yr (see my avi for proof). However, Marinelli has been wrestling great and is a bull like his nickname. Maybe not a bad matchup for Mekhi's speed. Win and he probably draws Wick from Wisconsin. I don't like that matchup, but at that point he's playing with house money. Lose vs Marinelli and he gets Ashworth from Wyoming for AA. Then Marsteller again which I'd love to see.

174 - DMF gets DePrez in 1st round, then probably #11 Lydy from Purdue. His matches have been low scoring and close all year so not a layup. Win and David gets Valencia who hasn't been as stellar as last year. I thought he's been dinged up. Win and he gets Lewis from Mizzou - they missed each other last fall. Lose and he gets Finesilver (again?!?!) for AA. Lose to Lydy and it's not an easy road to AA.

184 - Praying for total focus from ZZ this tourney. Do that and go far. He gets Ducharme then probably Wisman from Mizzou who ZZ has beat twice this yr but very close both times. Then Foster (UNI) who beat ZZ twice in Vegas. Win and he gets an injured Rasheed for a finals slot. Lose and he probably gets Wilke (Orange) for AA.

197 - I just don't think Tom is healthy. He gets Stout (Pitt) in the 1st round then Aiello (UVA) next which is a tossup imo. Win and he gets Moore (OSU) and then probably Honis (Cornell) in wrestlebacks for AA. Lose to Aiello and he gets Diabe (App) and then Traxler (Stanford) for AA. Hard if not healthy.

285 - Billy gets Haines (LH) who he beat last year. Win and get Dhesi (Oregon State) then Steveson. Lose to Dhesi and he gets UNC in wrestlebacks, then Nevills (FS) then Parris (Michigan) for AA. Tough path. Lose to Haines and then he gets Butterbrodt (Brown) then #12 Jennings (NW) then probably Voss (GMU). I think they've split the last two years? Then vs Dhesi for AA. Hopefully he gets some help from the rest of the field.

Again there could be some upsets and this whole thing is up in the air.

Prediction:
AA - Mekhi, DMF, ZZ
Outside chance - BC if he wins his 1st round and Sleigh if he wins first 2

[Post edited by Hokie Hawk at 03/14/2019 3:14PM]

Posted: 03/14/2019 at 2:28PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Looking at the draws and paths to AA -- Hokie Hawk 03/14/2019 2:28PM
  Excellent post. Thanks for sharing. ** -- VTDante 03/14/2019 4:55PM
  Very good projections/scenarios ** -- emhokie 03/14/2019 6:11PM

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