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Conference Realignment Board

mrcaniac

Joined: 11/27/2012 Posts: 637
Likes: 207


Not many schools can go all-in


The article quotes Delaney as saying the B1G would go the D3 model and just offer scholarships based on financial need, not athletics. That takes them out, which would also probably take the PAC12 out of the running since they have the long time working relationship with the B1G.

Who else?

If this is football only, then they would split the TV money equally, and most of these schools would spend every penny on football that they could. To compete in this conference, you need a stadium that will seat at least 80,000. Why 80,000? Simple, ticket revenue. The SEC has 4 schools with stadiums over 100K seats, Texas A&M, LSU, Tennessee, Alabama. It also has 4 over 80K, UGA, FLA, USCe, & Auburn. The ACC has 1 school over 80K, Clemson, and FSU is at 79600.

Here's the average ticket price for each of the SEC schools with seating over 80K, and how much more that they would be able to spend on football than a school with 60K stadium and 6 home games a season.

UGA $248 per game. 93K seats $49M a season more
Ten $214/game 102K seats $54M a season more
AUB $192/game 87K seats $31M a season more
A&M $184/game 103K seats $47M a season more
ALA $171/game 102K seats $43M a season more
LSU $147/game 102K seats $37M a season more
FLA $107/game 89K seats $18M a season more
USC $139/game 80K seats $16M a season more

And those numbers are for just the added seats, not for total seats in the stadium which would be even more. Based on a 6 game home schedule, Tennessee sells $131M a season in tickets. Mississippi sells $36M. Over $100M, just on tickets alone.

There's a reason Mizzou, KY, VAN, MSU, Ole Miss, and ARK can't compete in the SEC anymore, and it's ticket revenue. Even FL and USCe with large stadiums go into a season with a deficit of over $18M to the top teams, and that is just because the top ones charge more per ticket and have higher seating capacity.

So, expansion of this super conference would probably bring about a contraction of the SEC as KY, VAN, MIZ, and MSU/Ole Miss leave. So the 9 leftovers, plus FSU/Clemson would bring it to 11, the only other schools that have the facilities to compete and are not in the B1G/PAC, are OK, TEX, and ND. Notre Dame has already said that they won't follow this model, so they are out. Tex and OU are the only other schools that could compete in this model, so they are in. That's now 13 schools:

Oklahoma
Texas
Texas A&M
LSU
Alabama
Auburn
Georgia
Arkansas
USCe
Florida
FSU
Clemson
Tennessee

12 game schedule, 6 home 6 away. Every year, the same 4 or 5 schools will be in the championship playoffs, and every year, the same 3 or so schools will be at the bottom because the higher income schools will outbid the lower income schools every time.

(In response to this post by Lakeridgehokie)

Posted: 10/23/2018 at 2:01PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Rev up the realignment train again? -- Lakeridgehokie 10/22/2018 2:43PM
  It'll be interesting to see how this shakes out. -- goldendomer 10/23/2018 6:39PM
  Not many schools can go all-in -- mrcaniac 10/23/2018 2:01PM
  College athletes cannot be paid -- 33laszlo99 11/03/2018 11:15AM
  Be interesting for Vt again -- Mercury 10/23/2018 07:48AM
  My son is a current UF student -- Go VT 10/25/2018 07:37AM
  Beat 'em Bucs! ** -- TerryD 10/27/2018 08:02AM
  Women’s studies majors? ** -- EDGEMAN 10/25/2018 06:11AM
  Agricultual sciences and engineering. ** -- Old Line Hokie 10/25/2018 08:36AM
  It is not about academics, never was -- M-I-C 10/23/2018 05:24AM
  The Presidents are still in charge, not the fans ** -- VictoryTurkey 10/23/2018 08:20AM
  The ACC presidents proved it isn't about academics. -- Atlee Hokie 11/28/2018 11:33PM
  Not really. -- M-I-C 10/23/2018 4:45PM
  Apples and oranges -- M-I-C 10/24/2018 5:03PM
  I am not sure it has to be one or the other -- VTHokie2000 10/24/2018 10:36AM
  College Presidents -- M-I-C 10/24/2018 5:09PM
  All of the talk -- M-I-C 10/25/2018 5:35PM
  Yes, I know that has been the talk for years -- VTHokie2000 10/25/2018 5:54PM
  It does not have to be 64... -- M-I-C 10/26/2018 5:00PM
  If it comes, it will be a balancing act -- M-I-C 10/27/2018 12:01PM
  Iowa and Iowa State -- M-I-C 10/29/2018 6:02PM
  Oh I dont think it will go that high up -- M-I-C 10/30/2018 5:01PM
  They can "threaten" all the want -- VTHokie2000 10/30/2018 5:37PM
  Sorry just matter what university -- Mercury 10/23/2018 11:15PM
  I am not sure the NCAA could put a cap on revenue -- VTHokie2000 10/23/2018 01:15AM
  Blessing in disguies? -- 33laszlo99 10/22/2018 4:25PM
  The article ignores so many factors... -- 2hhoop3 10/23/2018 11:05AM
  Times are changing... -- IB4TECH 10/22/2018 5:00PM

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