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Conference Realignment Board

M-I-C

Joined: 08/13/2018 Posts: 275
Likes: 149


It is good fodder though


At least it is useful to pass the long days of summer.

However, I do not think, as much as many want to believe it, that the Big-12 is going to have anyone exit. I expect 2 more teams to join. Who is up for debate, but it could be Texas and 9 little Div II schools and it would be a P5 conference. Texas has more money, more brand and well, more everything than any other program out there. They own their state and much of the states around them. They command what they want too and never have to ask anyone's permission. The only thing they lack is a winning team. That is probably in the works.

So long as Texas is in the Big-12 and the Big-12 is Texas, no one is going anywhere. None of the Texas schools would leave unless they were forced out. Oklahoma and OSU only have to contend with an old foe in Texas and not fall down the pecking order in another conference like PSU did. Kansas is a basketball school that dabbles in football, the Big-12 version of Wake and Duke. KState is not going any where without Kansas and Iowa State, if they were going anywhere would be the Big Ten and there is no chance that ever happens.

That leaves WVU. WVU went from pulling in 8 million a year in 2010 to pulling in perhaps as much as 45 million this year. Tier 3 is pulling in staggering amounts for them, more than made from the Big East for all sports. Why would they leave?

The ACC could be a good alternative but think about it. WVU plays Texas and Oklahoma every other year in Morgantown and Kansas basketball every year. What can the ACC for that on that annual basis? Maybe FSU every 5 years and even then it might be at FSU. Same with any of the other schools of stature. ND will not play there unless Jesus says so. VT would be on the schedule but how long would that last?

The feud between the two schools is ok now, but let 2 or 3 years of heated games pass by and see how quickly that turns. WVU does not like VT and VT does not like WVU. Not going to change. Outside of VT who would be a regular on their annual schedule to make them dump Texas, OU and Kansas? No one.

We are also assuming the GOR structure will be around to renew. It may become something else. The bowl system may change again, it seems too every 10 years. The P5 could break away and form their own league, then ND will be forced in or out. That may work for the ACC but I would not bet on it. If it ever gets to that, ND will join the Big Ten, regardless of any agreement they have signed. They could join the Big-12 but I would doubt that, the programs of the Big-12 are exciting as a drive through the middle of America's farm land as far as ND is concerned.

I have no idea how it will change but I tend to think changes will be smaller, piecemeal and not wholesale just because some agreement has expired.

(In response to this post by 33laszlo99)

Posted: 08/15/2018 at 9:33PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Conference records since realignment -- nebraskafaninwi 08/12/2018 4:00PM
  FSU -- Calamitous 08/12/2018 10:14PM
  I thought WVU would have done better too. -- EDGEMAN 08/13/2018 10:20AM
  Big 12 has been tough -- Millpoint 08/13/2018 12:16PM
  I don' think so -- Millpoint 08/13/2018 3:17PM
  Cost is not a problem for WVU -- M-I-C 08/13/2018 2:22PM
  You're probably right... -- Calamitous 08/13/2018 7:13PM
  Football -- Millpoint 08/13/2018 10:27PM
  Big XII > PAC-12 many years... -- Calamitous 08/14/2018 06:45AM
  Big XII -- Millpoint 08/15/2018 09:39AM
  Excellent point -- Calamitous 08/19/2018 11:29AM
  "Texas Ego" does not get a vote -- 33laszlo99 08/15/2018 11:35AM
  Time will tell -- Millpoint 08/15/2018 4:29PM
  Fodder -- M-I-C 08/15/2018 12:44PM
  Message board fodder for sure. Hence... -- 33laszlo99 08/15/2018 1:14PM
  It is good fodder though -- M-I-C 08/15/2018 9:33PM
  Pretty much my assertion as well -- M-I-C 08/16/2018 3:44PM
  ND is not going to join the Big Ten -- TerryD 08/16/2018 07:32AM
  I agree to an extent -- M-I-C 08/16/2018 3:53PM
  An assumption -- M-I-C 08/18/2018 3:26PM
  You are correct. -- M-I-C 08/18/2018 3:35PM
  I heard this 20 years ago -- TerryD 08/20/2018 07:30AM
  N/M ** -- TerryD 08/17/2018 2:51PM
  Oops, sorry about the multiple posts** -- TerryD 08/17/2018 2:51PM
  Notre Dame -- Millpoint 08/16/2018 11:55AM
  The only reason would be travel reduction. -- HOO86 08/16/2018 12:29PM
  UMCP -- M-I-C 08/14/2018 10:13AM
  Interesting read. ** -- RJHokie 08/16/2018 9:58PM
  True, sort of -- M-I-C 08/14/2018 05:37AM
  TCU -- Millpoint 08/15/2018 10:28AM
  50/50 -- M-I-C 08/15/2018 12:23PM

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