Here is what I can tell you...
The ACC will need to have a network in order for the member institutions to be on a financial par with the other leagues. The Big 10, PAC-12 and the SEC will all be earning a lot more money thanks to their networks over the ACC and the Big 12 and that inequity will once again drive a lot of chatter about realignment, etc. The Big-12 will be a mess thanks to the Longhorn Network. To me, they have no hope of getting a network. The ACC has a chance but they need to find a way to get distribution in order to make it a success and then a financial windfall.
My company has systems in a few ACC markets. We are in Virginia, Georgia, Florida and Rhode Island. Most of our customers are actually outside ACC country so we may be one of those that would be skeptical to add an ACC network...although I think we would get crushed in Northern VA, Roanoke, Hampton Roads and Central Florida without the ACC Network and that will ultimately get us in...plus we would probably get a heavy lean from ESPN. That is just my guess.
For the ACC Network to be a national play, I think that a few things have to happen. First, I think Notre Dame has to really think about coming all in. If they are in, the ACC Network football portfolio becomes an instant national player. Say what you like about ND but they do bring an audience and that cannot be ignored. Second, the ACC has to be willing to put major basketball inventory on the network. This means that if you want to watch Duke, Carolina, Louisville, Syracuse or other national contender hoops programs...you have to go to the ACC network...again this makes it a national play that will bring distribution. Third, a westward expansion is needed. If Texas can be brought in and the LHN comes with it and gets swallowed up by the ACC Network then you have a national player that will include the following markets... #1-New York (Syracuse), #3-Chicago (Notre Dame), #4- Philadelphia (Pitt), #5-Dallas-Fort Worth(UT), #7-Boston (BC), #8-Washington(VT, UVa), #9-Atlanta (GT, Clemson, FSU), #10-Houston (UT), #14-Tampa/St. Pete (FSU, Miami), #16-Miami/Ft. Lauderdale (Miami, FSU), #19-Orlando (FSU, Miami), #23-Pittsburgh (Pitt), #24- Raleigh/Durham (UNC, Duke, NCSU, WFU), and #25-Charlotte (UNC, Duke, NCSU, WFU, Clemson). That is a formidable lineup of national markets and can command some good per subscriber money if the content is there.
For those of you scoring at home, Norfolk/Newport News is market #44, Richmond is #57 and Roanoke/Lynchburg is #68.
As I keep telling you all...it is about gaining distribution. Once that code has been cracked, the ACC Network will become a reality and will make the schools a TON of money thanks to the markets in which the league plays.