I'll go with #30
Anywhere between 35-40, I'm not sure how people can expect this team to be top 20, we're replacing NFL level senior wideouts with freshmen and an injured senior and senior OT's with guys who've never played, our QB regressed last year and had his worse performance in the last game he played, we're betting on another freshman running back to be our "secret weapon" and our best defensive player tore his ACL a month ago. As much as he tries, he won't be full strength until the draft next year, I doubt we get meaningful minutes out of Exum until game 5-6 at the earliest. And we replaced our OC with a guy who hasn't had any success coordinating an offense at a BCS level.
Sure the defense could be great, just like they were supposed to be great to start last year. They had a fantastic finish, but if the offense doesn't get better (we haven't increased the talent, so the coaches better be great) this team is going to really struggle in a strong ACC coastal.
20. Always been a defensive led team. Senior QB, senior PK, encouraging young punter, and (hopefully) an organized offense with an identity.
About 40. I think things may get worse before they get better. IMHO the big question and big picture concern is will Beamer release his grip on the O philosophy and allow the new staff to do what they want to do......
Don't know but if offense kicks in to help D and we finish in the top 20, these new coaches will have earned bonuses and fan support.
Also, dont discount how much Logan will be improved by Scott Loeffler.He has done that everywhere he has coached
If we assume that Grimes is able to cobble together a decent offensive line (which would be an upgrade over last season), that Trey Edmonds will give us the big, physical RB that we need (assuming that Drew Harris doesn't make it), that Scot Loeffler can get Logan Thomas back to his 2012 form, and that D.J. Coles is ready to go at WR, then I could see us as high as 15th.